I was at the Microsoft Windows 8 launch last night and I was very impressed, having been an anti-M$ crusader for all this time. I have a few predictions and maybe we have talked about them in this forum, but having seen it I just couldn't help myself:
Ha, Okech being impressed by Windows products. Thats petty interesting as I never thought I will hear that from you. Agree though, petty neat when you check it initially, but a pain if you need to do something more involving fast. I guess people who use Windows will acclimatise to it petty fast, but if your only time with Linux is once in a while, it may get painful.
1) M$ is definitely getting its groove back and will eat a big chunk of what was 'stolen' from it in the desktop market share. The pricing is right and the product is awesome. The may not stop the surge of Apple (maybe am just a fun) but they will readily take back from the UNIX novices (the hardcore will never move) - I see the market share going back into the 90+ percentage (85?)
Window market share on desktop and notebooks have never gone below 90% I think. I think even if there is far more OSX around, the Window ecosystem has grown proportionally faster and preserved that market share. Window 8 will easily keep that share in my opinion.
2) The phone market, I see Nokia having made a very good gamble (+all the vendors who will jump in - Samsung & HTC are here too!) I see Windows phone eating away the market share of Android, though not a lot to make Android crumble, but I see them overtaking Apple on this front (since Apple is still a niche product - may not actually go down, but Android's loss will be M$ gain)
I would still bet my money that Nokia has no where to go but down. They poisoned their relationship with carrier and that is akin of Microsoft pissing on the Wintel hardware company. Their other problem is, in my opinion, despite window 8 being a great phone OS finally, they are too late in the market. I would say the smart phone market is now mature and not driven by the aesthetic of the interface, but on the hard reality of how deep one pocket is. Early adopters tend not to be sensitive to price, but when the masses pick up, the only property they care about is, "how much damage is this thing going to do to my pocket?". If you haven't make some money before then and try to keep the price up, you are done as far as market share is concerned. Don't think it matter to Apple though as they have learned to work with a small profitable share, but Microsoft may not have that luxury. That in turn makes Nokia odds not too attractive.
3) Tablet market will be a war between Apple and M$ - Apple will remain on top, but the big loser here will be Android, with a possible under 10% market share.
Really, 10% for Android. Will buy you tonnes of viceroy if that ever come true :) Anyway, a good read and look forward to see how it materialize
These are my 2 cents.
./Ok3ch
Muriithi
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Message: 2 Date: Fri, 16 Nov 2012 10:19:18 +0300 From: Ronnie kilel <ronniekilel@gmail.com> To: Skunkworks Mailing List <skunkworks@lists.my.co.ke> Subject: [Skunkworks] Open source library system Message-ID: <CAH4t7YVRN2tA+n9WwujdTHskc5YmHqi0_kgfZiHjdo+ycuzmaQ@mail.gmail.com> Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1"
Hi,
Am looking for an open source libray system any ideas?
-- Thanks
*Ronnie Kilel* ronniekilel@gmail.com
*squeaky wheel gets the grease** *